Perú, la difícil construcción de una república para todos. (Spanish Edition) Book PDF, ePub eBook

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Book Descriptions:

El objetivo de esta investigación es determinar las causas que impiden alcanzar el ideal republicano de construir en el Perú un Estado que asegure la gobernabilidad democrática, económica y social, sin exclusiones, con el propósito de proponer una estrategia de desarrollo nacional a largo plazo. El enfoque metodológico utilizado es el análisis histórico-empírico y el comparativo-diacrónico, ambos de carácter multidisciplinario. Se complementaron con un análisis estadístico sobre el período 1950-2011, lapso para el cual se cuenta con estadísticas económicas confiables. Luego del análisis efectuado se comprobó: i. la vulnerabilidad de nuestro país frente a los avatares del ciclo económico internacional; ii. La incapacidad de las élites de responder realistamente a las situaciones desfavorables del ciclo, con excepción de algunos breves períodos. En el análisis también se observa la relevancia de China e India en nuestra economía, pues estas potencias demandan ingentes cantidades de metales industriales. Este hecho determinó que a partir del 2004 los precios de estos insumos subieran significativamente. Esta tendencia vuelve predecible un largo ciclo internacional favorable que posibilita la implementación de una estrategia nacional de desarrollo a largo plazo, puesto que las élites nacionales han establecido el consenso de que es indispensable mantener los equilibrios macroeconómicos como condición previa para asegurar un crecimiento económico sostenido con creciente inclusión social

Perú, la difícil construcción de una república para todos. (Spanish Edition) by Otoniel Velasco Fernández

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